As the lift in his luxury London hotel rushes upwards to the
11th floor, Olusegun Obasanjo squeezes my arm warmly as he recounts his busy schedule
of late. His aide and two PR people nod approvingly as he talks of his
jet-setting across Africa, his upcoming appointment with the Archbishop of
Canterbury, and his trip to New York straight after.
With a new book to promote, the former Nigerian president
from 1999 to 2007 has been busy. So too has the PR firm behind the book,
offering him up for interviews far and wide.
Obasanjo can certainly handle it. Aged 80, he may look like
a cuddly grandfather. But he still has plenty of fuel in his tank and fire in
his belly, as I am to find out later this morning.
As we enter his hotel suite, an American news channel is
blaring on the television. He instructs his aide to turn it down but not off.
“I won’t know how to turn it on”, he says. His assistant shows him the big red
button on the remote before pressing it. The screen goes black. “Now how will I
turn it back on?” the former president asks, a touch irritated. The aide
quietly reassures him that he’ll personally see to it as soon as the interview
is over.
Obasanjo’s new book, Making Africa Work, describes itself as
“a guide to improving Africa’s capacity for economic growth and job creation”.
Co-written with Greg Mills, Jeffrey Herbst and Dickie Davis, it provides a
detailed overview of various political and economic challenges facing the
continent. It warns of a growing youth bulge, and provides dozens of
recommendations on how to encourage the private sector, diversify the economy
and deliver forward-thinking leadership.
As we sit down across the small table in his plush hotel
room, I start by asking Obasanjo how well his own president, Muhummadu Buhari,
has been faring on these fronts since coming to office in 2015. One thing the
two men have in common is the extent to which they polarise opinion, though
Obasanjo here is unrelentingly equivocal.
“Buhari has made some announcements. He has tried to keep on
going in the area of agribusiness, but not enough,” he says, slowly and
cautiously. “It is not yet enough to prepare the ground for uninhibited growth
of the economy, which we need”.
“Not enough” seems a sparse and generous reading of an
administration that has presided over Nigeria’s first recession in 25 years,
rising youth unemployment, and endless policy deadlocks. But even when pushed
on specifics, Obasanjo picks his words carefully as he repeats familiar
combinations of faint praise and sympathetic criticism of the man he backed for
office.
“Is Buhari doing enough about it?” he asks at one point of
youth unemployment. “I don’t believe he is. Can he do enough about it? Of
course he can.”
Obasanjo’s vague and uncommitted answers contrast with the
book he just co-wrote, which packs a handful of statistics into virtually every
paragraph and offers dozens of recommendations. But the former president does
eventually hone in on one specific: Nigeria’s frustrated young people.
The median age of Nigeria’s population is under 18, and the
youth demographic continues to swell. There aren’t enough jobs for them, and if
Obasanjo were back in office, his priority would be education. “Youth
empowerment, skill acquisition and youth employment – education must be able to
do that,” he insists. “If you do that, the ticking bomb of possible youth
explosion out of restiveness and anger will subside.”
Obasanjo attributes young people’s frustrations to many of
Nigeria’s problems today, including the ongoing agitation in the south-east.
Over the past couple years, the region has witnessed widespread protests,
violence and military intervention as calls for some states to secede as the
independent nation of Biafra have grown in volume.
The former president maintains that secession is not the
solution, and says that the government’s military interventions – through which
hundreds have reportedly been killed – have “made things worse”. But he accepts
that young activists have real grievances.
“All youth in Nigeria have legitimate reasons to feel
frustrated and angry,” he offers. “The protesters don’t even know what the
struggle is all about, but if it gives them false hope, why not hang onto it?”
What would be his solution to the escalating crisis over
calls for secession?
“Let the elders handle it or ignore it until it loses
momentum,” he counsels. “There are elders in any community who are still
respected…After all, they’re their fathers and mothers, grandfathers and
grandmothers, and can still be used effectively.”
Empowering old people may seem a counterintuitive approach
to resolving a problem he ascribes to young people’s sense of disempowerment,
but it is perhaps fitting advice from a man trying to carve out his own role as
an elder statesman.
I ask Obasanjo whether devolution of powers could also help
assuage the regional disillusionment. The idea of “true federalism” and
“restructuring” has recently escalated into one of Nigeria’s main hot button
political issues, with politicians, commentators and the media all debating the
topic at length.
But at this, the former president sits up and fixes me with
a stare from across the table.
“I don’t believe in true federalism. What is true
federalism?”, he asks. The man whose tendency in office was always to
centralise rather than decentralise power is suddenly bristling. He interrupts
with more questions as I respond.
“Why are they not accountable? What powers do they not
have?”, he interjects. “They have power,” he insists, poking his finger,
claiming that in all but a few sectors, states can do whatever they want.
“In fact, state governors are more powerful than the
president. That’s the truth,” he says. “If anybody tells you they want
devolution or true federalism, he doesn’t know what he is talking about.” With
an audible huff, he leans back.
A broad range of current and former lawmakers, civil society
groups, and millions of Nigerians would beg to differ. So too would the ruling
All Progressives Congress (APC), which Obasanjo backed in 2015, at least in its
manifesto, which pledged to “amend our constitution with a view to devolving
powers”.
But a frustrated Obasanjo doubles down. “The fact anybody
talks about it doesn’t mean it’s right.”
—
In Nigeria, Obasanjo’s eight years in office remain highly
controversial.
On the one hand, those who see him as a saviour can
certainly point to some impressive successes. Coming to power in 1999, he
inherited a country that was fragile, coup-prone, indebted and corrupt.
In response, he defanged and professionalised the army. His
government tamed rampant inflation, earned debt relief, and built up
considerable foreign exchange reserves. And he established the Economic and
Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), a body that went on to prosecute various
high-profile figures – something many Nigerians never thought could happen –
and recover billions of dollars in the process.
Obasanjo’s supporters argue that, unlike his predecessors,
he left the country in better shape than he found it. That’s no mean feat.
But on the other hand, Obasanjo’s critics have no shortage
of ammunition either.
They point out that his macroeconomic successes depended on
high oil prices and did little to improve the lives of the vast majority of
Nigerians. They complain that Obasanjo imposed a handpicked successor – the
relatively inexperienced Umaru Musa Yar’Adua who died three years into his
first term – on the country in chaotic elections in order to maintain his
influence.
Obasanjo’s critics also say that the EFCC ended up being a
politically-wielded weapon and that, if anything, systems of corruption
ossified under his watch. The House of Representatives recently labelled
Obasanjo the “grandfather of corruption”, while the EFCC’s former chair is reported
to have said corruption under Obasanjo was worse than under his notoriously
self-enriching military predecessor.
Ten years after he stepped down, Obasanjo still divides
opinion. Many Nigerians – both those who love and hate him – wish he would
retire gracefully on his farm. But that doesn’t seem to be on the cards in the
foreseeable future. The 80-year-old continues to pull strings and enjoys
significant influence within Nigeria’s complex political web.
As Nigeria approaches the 2019 elections, for example, the
question of who Obasanjo will back has been subject to much speculation. Buhari
has been ill for much of his time in office and wannabe successors, of which
there is no shortage, have been positioning themselves carefully.
Obasanjo is tight-lipped on his front. “I don’t cross a
bridge until I get to it,” he states.
One thing that seems clear, however, is that he won’t be
supporting his former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar. The two fell out in
dramatic fashion in 2007. This month, there have been growing suggestions that
Abubakar is lining up to run in 2019. Two days before I spoke to Obasanjo, the
former VP had issued a challenge, calling on anyone with evidence of his
corruption to come forwards now.
When I ask whether he will respond to this challenge,
Obasanjo is unmoved. “Read my book”, he says, blinking at me. Is Abubakar
corrupt? Is he fit for presidential office? Would you support him?
“Read my book”, he repeats in answer to each follow-up,
unafraid to let his silence fill the room.
By his “book”, Obasanjo is not referring to the
carefully-researched and co-written Making Africa Work, but his autobiography
My Watch. Published in 2015, it comes in three volumes, extends to 1,578 pages
full of copy-and-pasted speeches and reports, and is the size of a small
watermelon.
Obasanjo refuses to speak further about Abubakar as we sit
in his hotel room, but the former president is not usually known for holding
his tongue. He is certainly not afraid to pick fights and condemn his opponents
is public. However, the reverse is also true: many Nigerians continue to demand
that he be held accountable for his time in office too.
As one might expect of a man who has published 2.2kg worth
of autobiography – not including previous memoirs My Command and Not My Will –
Obasanjo is highly sensitive when questions over his legacy are raised.
“Come off it. I had the largest poultry farm before I became
president, the largest in Africa. The fact I have N20,000 in my account does
not mean I’m not wealthy,” he snaps, referring to questions over how he came to
be a multi-millionaire despite having just a few dollars when he entered
office. “Do you understand that?”
When talking about abstract policy, Obasanjo tried to stay
in ponderous elder statesman mode, but the moment his own reputation is under
scrutiny, he switches to street-fighter mode. He turns to attack and starts
pre-emptively answering questions I haven’t even asked.
What’s your response to people who say that while you were
in off-. “My response is that while I was in office, all sorts of accusations
were made!”
When your successor came into office, he-. “My successor was
ignorant! Totally ignorant.”
I raise the ongoing problem of electricity supply in
Nigeria, and lessons learnt from his efforts in office, but he interrupts
before I can finish again. “That is absolute nonsense. There was a report from
the House of Representatives that proved that wrong… So what the hell are you
talking about?”
I’m no longer sure. But what he is now talking about are
ongoing allegations that much of the $16 billion spent on electricity under his
watch was lost through corruption. Incidentally, contrary to his claim, the
report he says “totally absolved” him in fact recommended he be investigated
and be “called to account for the recklessness in the power sector during his
time”.
It’s around this time that the PR person, who has been
sitting dutifully in the corner, proposes that now might be an apposite time to
wrap up. The former president and I agree, but he is not quite done.
As I try to explain that many Nigerians still want to know
about his time in office, he accuses of me having been sent to interview him by
Abubakar and of being a “bloody idiot”. I feel like I’m getting a taste of why
the octogenarian is still feared in Nigeria today.
I collect my things and thank the ex-president for his time.
My notes remind me to ask for a photo, but as he scowls at the floor, I think
better of it. An uninformed and “disrespectful” youth, I have already
displeased the elder. Now is the time for me know my place, bow out and be
quiet.
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